Interesting Weather Developments

12zrun GFS18zrun GFS

It seems as if the models are lost somewhere in computer model space. They are trying so hard to find their way home. Here is an example of the complete confusion the GFS is having right now. These are both forecast for a same time period, however, these graphics had a six hour initiation differential.

The GFS is having a very difficult time deciding what to do with the Pacific ridge and the Central US trough. It can't figure wether to amplify both or not. My feeling is that the amplification is way underdone by the GFS. The European/UKMET seems to have a much better handle on this situation. All this would lead to a Colder pattern.