Tulsa Weather: NWS finally follows my lead...

Monday, December 12, 2005

NWS finally follows my lead...


Don't you think the National Weather Service could come up with some better graphics. Oh well, they are not in it for looks.

The change from Cold to Extreme Cold begins on Friday. It looks like the Southern Jet finally comes back to play. I alluded to this several days ago as I mentied the SOI value going to the tank. The southern jet should meet up with the polor jet this weekend and then dive south.

This will allow a monstrous Arctic High to settle down in the central portion of the United States. This will lead up to Christmas. This will give us an usually high chance of having a white Christmas....keep checking.

2 Comments:

At Monday, December 12, 2005 2:58:00 PM, Blogger Steve Miller said...

Mike:
Been keeping an eye on the weekend of the 17th as you have and am seeing good potential here for precip. I'm not sure about it being in the frozen form though. What are your current feelings about temps overnight Sat night and their relation to precip mode?

Where did you get those glasses? heh

 
At Monday, December 12, 2005 4:14:00 PM, Blogger weatherguy8 said...

Steve.. Model extraction shows 850 temps to be at -5 degrees c. Also, surface temps appear to be around 32 degrees F. Thicknesses appear to well below the critical thickness (533). Total accumulation is around .25" liquid precip. Which in return would accumulate to about 3"-5". All this is done by extracting the GFS.

By the way, the GFS has done a superior job in depicting precipitation potential this winter. However, it has done a horrible job with the shallow arctic airmasses. Which is typical for the GFS. Hope this answers your question..

 

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